Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064366 0.071134 0.078532 0.087258 0.097317 0.108607 0.122322
2024-10-20 0.053792 0.062919 0.073690 0.087499 0.104957 0.126613 0.156020
2024-10-27 0.046207 0.056400 0.069160 0.086634 0.110476 0.142710 0.191132
2024-11-03 0.041464 0.052413 0.066804 0.087659 0.118102 0.162650 0.236412
2024-11-10 0.037842 0.049240 0.064849 0.088599 0.125402 0.183308 0.288562
2024-11-17 0.034594 0.046092 0.062381 0.088205 0.130344 0.201080 0.341309
2024-11-24 0.032300 0.043977 0.061045 0.089168 0.137397 0.223713 0.410840
2024-12-01 0.030382 0.042173 0.059897 0.090153 0.144509 0.247976 0.493326
2024-12-08 0.028683 0.040506 0.058733 0.090869 0.151156 0.272885 0.588521
2024-12-15 0.027038 0.038757 0.057228 0.090738 0.156109 0.295508 0.689449
2024-12-22 0.025398 0.036870 0.055296 0.089561 0.158737 0.313669 0.788118
2024-12-29 0.024456 0.036016 0.054987 0.091287 0.167585 0.348850 0.962691
2025-01-05 0.023006 0.034246 0.052990 0.089639 0.169098 0.366857 1.094230
2025-01-12 0.022081 0.033281 0.052312 0.090487 0.176393 0.402753 1.328258
2025-01-19 0.021019 0.032006 0.050970 0.089833 0.180096 0.430049 1.555392
2025-01-26 0.020306 0.031277 0.050549 0.091015 0.188501 0.474775 1.927357
2025-02-02 0.019630 0.030564 0.050089 0.092049 0.196770 0.522759 2.397890
2025-02-09 0.018832 0.029579 0.049034 0.091654 0.201227 0.559867 2.871491
2025-02-16 0.018262 0.028966 0.048637 0.092676 0.209809 0.616414 3.634483
2025-02-23 0.017733 0.028392 0.048270 0.093716 0.218719 0.679285 4.661634
2025-03-02 0.017210 0.027795 0.047805 0.094470 0.227004 0.744664 5.998035
2025-03-09 0.016632 0.027062 0.047009 0.094334 0.232564 0.801521 7.536752
2025-03-16 0.015986 0.026166 0.045819 0.093094 0.234388 0.841973 9.090619